Quick Answer — How Strong Is a 2048-Bit RSA Key?
It provides 112 bits of security, not 2048. Key length equals security strength only for symmetric ciphers. RSA and Diffie-Hellman fall to index-calculus methods far faster than brute force, so their keys have to be far longer to reach the same bar.
The comparable security strengths from NIST SP 800-57 Part 1 — every entry in a row resists attack equally well:
- 80 bits — 2TDEA, RSA 1024, ECC 160–223
- 112 bits — 3TDEA, RSA 2048, ECC 224–255
- 128 bits — AES-128, RSA 3072, ECC 256–383
- 192 bits — AES-192, RSA 7680, ECC 384–511
- 256 bits — AES-256, RSA 15360, ECC 512 and above
The efficiency gap across that table is the whole story. RSA-2048 spends 18.29 key bits for every bit of real security; a 256-bit elliptic curve key spends 2.00; an AES key spends 1.00. That is why elliptic curve replaced RSA in most new designs, and why doubling an RSA modulus buys progressively less each time.
NIST treats 112 bits as the floor for new protection through 2030 and 128 bits as the level to specify for anything expected to outlive that.